It's funny reading the analysis of the resurrection of Jonathan/PDP in Kano as computed by 'roadside political analysts'.
Let me even give in to childish dramatization of reality and assume the handful crowd that were hired to welcome Jonathan in Kano were 10,000 or, let me be more generous and make it a 100,000 sugar ants crowd. Let's match this with history to get the present and make sense of the future.
In 2011, without the 'tragic' card reader, Jonathan scored 440,665 against President Buhari's 1,624,543 and Malam Shekarau's 526,310 votes.
In 2015, with the ingenious card reader, Jonathan's 'popularity' was cut by half to mere 215,779 from 440,665 against PMB's popularity which went up to 1,903,999 from 1,624,543 votes.
Clear as the above figures may show, this is not the clearest reflection of the situation. To get the correct picture, you have to consider that in 2011 Jonathan and Malam Shekarau were individual candidates and in 2015 they were merged against PMB. This is saying that the 440,665 votes of Jonathan and Shekarau's 526,310 votes of 2011 which equals 966,975 were what was reduced to mere 215,779 votes that they jointly generated for Jonathan in 2015.
Now, if my generosity to award the Kano rented crowd a 100,000 mark is anything to go by, shouldn't rationale thinking provoke a debate on the whys and hows of Jonathan/PDP decline in Kano that only "100,000" sugar ants came out to welcome him two years later in 2017.
At this rate of decline, I feel safe to assume that in 2019 Jonathan will happily go home with 215,779 (2015 votes) less 100,000 sugar ants that didn't come out to welcome him yesterday, less 100,000 sugar ants I generously assume they did that will not be around in 2019 due to the continuous decline. If you are celebrating anything, you are celebrating 15,779 votes. Not bad for somebody who reduced Kano to a giant cemetery on a single day.
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